Insights

Notes on markets, money, and the long view. The Weekly Update from Anton, plus press, and the occasional essay.

Weekly Update

Small Business Owners Still See Headwinds

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its Small Business Optimism US Index today indicating it has decreased to 91.2 in August. This breaks the improving trend since dropping to a multi-year low

Anton BayerSeptember 11, 20246 min read

Weekly Update

Summer Stock Market Selloff Continues

After a long Labor Day weekend, investors started the first trading day of September by selling. The reason floated out by the main media for today’s selloff is investors skittish about the S&P Global US Manufacturing Pu

Anton BayerSeptember 4, 20245 min read

Weekly Update

Summer Pause and Rebound

As we forecast in June, the US stock market to enter a period of weakness with stock prices declining during the summer after the major indices had a solid rally in the first half of 2024. The reasons for summer weakness

Anton BayerAugust 29, 20245 min read

Weekly Update

Consumers’ Pandemic Hangover

The 2020 pandemic prompted panicked policymakers to implement extreme restrictions on societies around the world. These regulations resulted in plummeting consumer sentiment about the economy that reverberated with histo

Anton BayerAugust 21, 20245 min read

Weekly Update

Summer Market Correction

A summer market correction is well underway after a strong first half of 2024 for the stock market. Over time the S&P 500 on average increases about 70% of the time with the remaining periods with down cycles referenced

Anton BayerJuly 30, 20245 min read

Weekly Update

Interest Rates, S&P500 Pullback, and Presidential Campaign Impacts

There are three primary topics of conversation occurring in the broader market right now: interest rate direction, last week’s pullback in the S&P500, and the presidential campaigns. Let’s take a look at them one by one,

Nyle BayerJuly 23, 20245 min read

Weekly Update

How Can Companies Be More Productive?

The holy grail for companies is achieving maximum productivity growth at the most profitable revenue ratio. For publicly traded companies, investors wait to hear each quarter the changes in the company’s top-line revenue

Anton BayerJuly 17, 20245 min read

Weekly Update

When to Sell

Since the stock market bottomed on October 14, 2022, the major indices have rallied significantly. During these past 20 months, the tech-based NASDAQ index has soared 78.3% followed by a large-cap S&P 500 index up 55.53%

Anton BayerJuly 10, 20245 min read

Weekly Update

Nvidia Rally Continues

We added Nvidia (NVDA) to our Growth & Income and Growth model portfolios early last year. Since then, the stock price has soared. This year institutional investors continued to add NVDA to their portfolios on bullish fo

Anton BayerJune 26, 20244 min read

Weekly Update

Winners and Losers in May Retail Sales

The US Census Bureau released last week the advance projection May report of the Index of Economic Activity (IDEA) that includes information how consumers changed their spending last month. The advance report is released

Anton BayerJune 20, 20246 min read

The Weekly Update

Get the Weekly Update in your inbox

Anton’s note on the week, plus new essays. No noise, sent when there is something worth saying.

No spam, unsubscribe anytime.