Insights

Notes on markets, money, and the long view. The Weekly Update from Anton, plus press, and the occasional essay.

Weekly Update

Was There Supposed to Be a Recession?

In advance of 2023, the recession drum beats were so loud it was deafening. Market pundits warned that as the Fed raised interest rates, it was just a matter of time before the economy entered a recession.

Anton BayerJuly 12, 20235 min read

Weekly Update

Consumer Driven Economy Powers On

We have mentioned in past Weekly Briefs about the dynamics of our current multi-speed economy. Some sectors are doing (travel, retail, hospitality) while others are not doing so well (lending, banking, and commercial off

Anton BayerJune 30, 20235 min read

Weekly Update

Stock Market Insights: Balancing Subjective vs Technical analysis

In sports there are the subjective analysts and then those that take a technical approach to evaluate a team’s potential. On a subjective basis, the analyst would focus on attitude, team spirit, and managers ability to c

Anton BayerJune 15, 20235 min read

Weekly Update

Consumers Concerned, Feds Happy

Last Friday, the University of Michigan released its Consumer Sentiment bi-monthly report. The report is based on a survey conducted by Consumer Survey Center every two weeks contacting 600 households with 420 responding

Anton BayerMay 17, 20233 min read

Weekly Update

Timing is Everything, or Is It?

Since Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chairman, announced early 2022 the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate hike campaign to slow inflation, analysts have predicted a recession in 2023. Recessions do not suddenly s

Anton BayerMay 10, 20234 min read

Weekly Update

Living

Throughout my life I have benefited from people with more experience and knowledge who have been generous to share what they have learned so my learning curve may be steeper with less setbacks due to mistakes.

Anton BayerApril 27, 20237 min read

Weekly Update

Is US in Recovery or Heading into a Recession?

The Jerome Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) were in a real bind in 2020. They recognize the danger of ultra-low interest rates leading to hyperinflation. However, the coronavirus pandemic superseded ec

Anton BayerApril 19, 20237 min read

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